Big Question: ‘Who will raise a toast in 2019 LS ELECTIONS?’
Adrenaline are flowing high with as both the prime the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Indian National Congress (INC) along with their allied parties are pressing hard to impress the voters for the panoramic festival – the 17th Lok Sabha elections. The BJP is contesting under the banner of National Democratic Alliance (NDA) while the Congress has Mahagathbandhan to its advantage under the title United Progressive Alliance (UPA).
Polling in seven phases will be held from 11 April to 19 May 2019 covering 543 constituencies and the results will be declared on 23rd May.
While PM Modi has fetched himself a huge fan following in the recent past with air strikes and honest implementation and execution of policies, the congress has won hearts with its manifesto that it released recently for which it claims to have held 121 public consultations and 53 closed door consultations reflecting the hopes of the people. Former Finance Minister P Chidambaram was the chief of the manifesto committee of which unemployment, farmer distress and security of women are considered the top three issues. The theme of the manifesto is how to marry wealth and welfare, Ex-FM had said.
So, based on reports flying in during the poll season, here are the chances of ‘Two Titans’ –Narendra Modi Vs Rahul Gandhi or call it the BJP and Congress. Here let us not forget that the smaller parties which have been supporting the two will be playing a major role in the formation of the next ruling government in the instances of the two biggest parties falling short of seats.
Total Voter Turnout
NOTA: NOTA was introduced with an idea to give an option to voters to express their disapproval of all the contesting candidates. It is important to understand that it does not affect the outcome of the elections. Even if the count of NOTA is significantly higher than the number of votes any candidate has secured in a given constituency, the candidate with the highest number of votes will still be declared as the winner.
The Apex Court’s opinion on NOTA: The Apex Court supports the thought that the possibility to exercise the negative voting or NOTA option encourages the voters to exercise their franchise even if they are not satisfied with any of the candidates contesting. It has no arithmetic value in an election. It is not a negative vote, but only a neutral one as it does not count towards the final tally. The bench under the then Chief Justice of India P Sathasivam said, "Negative voting will lead to a systemic change in polls and political parties will be forced to project clean candidates. If the right to vote is a statutory right, then the right to reject a candidate is a fundamental right of speech and expression under the Constitution."
NOTA red alert: Political analysts are of the view that pressing the icon this time could actually lead to national disaster. So, the voters must be really careful while choosing the party to lead the nation.
First time voters
Of the 900 million eligible voters, 84.3 million -- including 15 million aged 18 or 19 -- will be casting votes for the first time. These first-timers will play an important role in shaping the nation’s fate in contrast, to the 814.5 million voters of 2014 elections, with 23.1 million first-time voters.
Study reveals that first-time voters behave differently and were more upgraded than the older generation that went blindfolded to the polling booth with predictable political leanings.
Now, the new crop is better informed, more educated, politically aware and tech-savvy and can take a stand. Before going taking the decision, they are not going by the tall claims made by the leaders, but what they have delivered till date and their potential to deliver.
Reviewing past (2014): The 16th Lok Sabha elections which reigned in Narendra Modi as the Prime Minister of the world’s largest democracy, (claimed a record-breaking 282 seats out of 543 constituencies), was based on the Gujarat model of development that wooed people.2019 main contenders: Prime Minister Narendra Modi has filed nominations from Varanasi in Uttar Pradesh while the Congress Chief Rahul Gandhi is contesting from Amethi in Uttar Pradesh which has been the bastion of Nehru-Gandhi family since 1966 and his new second seat from Wayanad parliamentary constituency in Kerala.
Contesting parties: There are around 2,293 political parties in India with 149 registered between February & March. These registered but unrecognised political parties cannot contest polls on a symbol of their own, but have to choose from a list of 'free symbols' issued by the poll panel. According to the latest EC circular, there are 84 such free symbols available currently.